Welcome to Pollapalooza, our weekly poll summary.
It looks like the Democrats’ legislative agenda will have to wait until 2022 passed the house last monthHe will pass the Senate by Christmas, the deadline Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer was hoping to meet.
What is certainly becoming a well-known point of contention among the Democrats right now, the moderate Democratic Senator Joe Manchin has once again thwarted their ambitions. Negotiations on the Build Back Better Act appear to have stalled because of the cost of expanding the child tax deduction, a payment made to families with children, research shows Reduce child poverty in 2021. Manchin, whose vote will likely decide whether the Build Back Better Act can pass the 50-50 Senate is Reportedly concerned that the actual cost of the bill is over $ 1.75 trillion because the tax credit, which Build Back Better technically only extends by one year, is likely to be extended further in the future.
In order to lower the real cost of the bill, the bill drafters did could Get rid of the child tax credit altogether, but that’s a non-starter with most Democrats – and would be unpopular with the American public, too. after a Morning consultation / Politico poll From December 4th to 6th, 53 percent of registered voters were in favor of extending the child allowance by one year, while only 33 percent were against it.
It’s not clear how big it will be for most Americans that the vote on the Build Back Better Act will be delayed, but support for the bill isn’t overwhelming at this point. After the bill was passed in the House of Representatives, the Morning Consult / Politico poll found that 47 percent of registered voters supported the bill and 40 percent were against it. Likewise a NPR / Marist Poll conducted November 30 through December 6 found that 41 percent of adults supported the law, while 34 percent said they opposed it.
However, there are some parts of the bill that are very attractive to Americans – namely, expanded access to health care. When Morning Consult / Politico asked respondents Select the five most important provisions of the invoice, four of the top five topics related to healthcare. For example, the House version of the bill adds $ 150 billion over 10 years to fund Medicaid home care for the elderly and people with disabilities. the largest increase in funding for this program since its inception. According to Morning Consult / Politico, more registered voters said this funding was an important part of the bill than anyone – and a whopping 76 percent of registered voters backed it.
The second top priority in the pro Morning Consult bill was to allow Medicare to negotiate prescription drug prices, which 71 percent of registered voters backed. In addition, 65 percent supported more affordable housing and 75 percent supported the expansion of Medicaid to include hearing aids.
With negotiations stalled, it no longer looks like any of these provisions will come into effect before the end of the year. The Build Back Better Act is far from doomed, however. The 117th Congress is still a year away, and it is entirely possible that Manchin and other Democrats will find a compromise and pass a version of that law soon. Provided the Democrats maintain many of the health requirements of the bill, the bill could end up being a popular bill for the Democrats too.
Other polling bites
- Scarcity and inflation affect the way some Americans shop for the holidays. Americans found that in-store (46 percent) and online (41 percent) items sold out more frequently each year current survey from Monmouth University. However, Americans were divided when it came to restricting gifts due to high prices: 48 percent bought gifts as usual and 40 percent reduced their purchases at least a little.
- Even with an increase in omicrons now expected in the US, many Americans don’t plan on changing the way they celebrate this holiday season. According to a. only 23 percent of Americans said they were likely to cancel their vacation travel plans Axios / Ipsos survey in December. And many still plan to hang out with friends and family who live outside of their household. 59 percent say it is not very likely or not at all likely that they will end these social gatherings.
- Even so, Americans are again worried about engaging in daily activities. According to another Ipsos / Axios survey, Concerns about the health risks of traveling on an airplane and returning to a normal life prior to COVID-19 had steadily decreased for several months, but rose to 68 percent and 52 percent, respectively, in December.
- A large majority of American parents thought a stable partner (86 percent) and job security (80 percent) were very or extremely important when choosing to have a child, according to a recent publication University of Chicago / AP-NORC survey. And more women (47 percent) than men (36 percent) saw the birth of a child as an obstacle to job security. Mothers were more likely than fathers to report that they performed most or all of the tasks such as managing a child’s schedule (56 percent of mothers, compared to 10 percent of fathers) and doing household chores and meals (68 percent of mothers, compared to 18 percent) perceived the fathers).
- Taylor Swift’s rumored ex-boyfriends – whom she often sings about – are often the target of online harassment, and a large number of Americans believe this is the fault of the “Swifties” or Swift fans, according to a current Morning Consult survey. Thirty-three percent of American adults said that Swift fans were most responsible for the harassment, while 22 percent blamed Swift himself and 19 percent blamed the media. Notably, several Swift fans (36 percent) blamed Swifties for the harassment.
According to FiveThirtyEights Presidential Approval Tracker, 43.7 percent of Americans are in favor of Biden’s job as president, while 50.7 percent disapprove (a net approval rating of -7.0 points). At this point last week, 42.6 percent were approved and 51.0 percent rejected (a net approval rating of -8.4 points). A month ago, Biden had an approval rating of 42.8 percent and a disapproval rating of 51.7 percent, which translates into a net approval rating of -8.8 points.
On our average of polls for the generic congressional vote, Republicans currently lead Democrats by 1.2 percentage points (43.1 percent to 41.8 percent). A week ago, the Republicans led the Democrats with 0.5 points (43.0 percent to 42.5 percent). At that time last month, voters preferred the Republicans with 0.3 points (42.4 percent versus 42.1 percent).