Biden’s Betting On Public Support To Push His Agenda. Polls Show His Big Spending Packages Have It.

Welcome to Pollapalooza, our weekly survey.

In his address to a joint congressional session on Wednesday evening, President Biden spent much time extolling the virtues of the three massive spending packages that have quickly become a centerpiece of his agenda: the $ 1.9 trillion coronavirus stimulus package, a $ 2 trillion infrastructure bill and a $ 1.8 trillion plan for childcare, universal kindergarten, and more.

The first part of Biden’s agenda, his coronavirus stimulus package, has received consistently high approvals – both in the first exam and in the adoption last month. A new ABC News / Washington Post poll (conducted April 18-21) found it still popular: 65 percent of Americans support it and only 31 percent are against it.

But what about the other two plans that haven’t made it through Congress yet?

The American Jobs Plan, a $ 2 trillion bill to improve infrastructure, is also popular, but recent polls disagree on how much. According to Fox NewsThe plan, which was in operation from April 18-21, is quite controversial: Although several (49 percent) of respondents support it, almost as many (41 percent) are against it. However, it received higher support in other surveys, such as CBS News / YouGov on April 21 and 24 (58 percent support, 42 percent opposition) and ABC News / Washington Post (52 percent support, 35 percent opposition). Monmouth University survey April 8-12who elaborated that the proposal would spend money on “roads, bridges and trains, internet access, grid improvements and clean energy projects,” gave the proposal its most populous numbers. A full 68 percent of adults said they support the plan, while only 29 percent opposed it.

CBS News / YouGov also inquired about specific infrastructure improvements, and in particular, each was more popular than the full bill (which the survey identified as merely “Biden Administration Infrastructure Proposal”). With a whopping 87 to 13 percent, Americans supported a hypothetical bill to spend money building or repairing roads and bridges. They also gave thumbs up on a bill to repair or replace old water pipes, 85 to 15 percent. Even the least popular specific proposals were found to be more popular than the total bill. For example, the Americans support the expenditure for the construction of more train and rail routes “only” 63 to 37 percent and the establishment of charging stations for electric cars “only” 61 to 39 percent.

Wednesday was the first time we learned details about the American Families Plan, which would raise $ 1.8 trillion for the universal preschool garden, paid federal vacation, childcare grants, free community college, and more. However, we know it will take time, so Monmouth was able to inquire about the popularity of a “large spending plan to expand access to health care and childcare and to support paid vacations and tuition fees”. This proposal also met with widespread enthusiasm, with 64 percent support and 34 percent opposition. But as with the physical infrastructure plan, some elements of the plan are more popular than others. For example after an older one (March 26-29) Morning Consult / Politico survey60 percent of Americans support the Free Community College, 33 percent are against it. And they like the idea of ​​extending the child tax credit expansion by 62 to 24 percent. But they support reducing tuition fees at historically black colleges and universities by only 48 to 40 percent.

All in all, those three bills add up to a federal government investment of $ 6 trillion, and Biden has already announced his intention to pay them by Increase in the corporate tax rate from 21 to 28 percent and an increase in taxes on wealthy individuals. These steps are popular with the public too, even if the polls disagree on how popular they are. For example, CBS News / YouGov noted that Americans support the tax hike for both individuals making more than $ 400,000 a year and for companies with the same large margin: 71 to 29 percent. Per Monmouth, however, support was slightly less: Americans prefer higher corporate taxes of 64 to 34 percent and they support raising taxes to $ 400,000, 65 to 33 percent.

Asked about the corporate income tax increase in an interesting way, ABC News / Washington Post gave respondents a glimpse into the story: “The top corporate income tax rate used to be 35 percent and then it was lowered to 21 percent,” she asked. “Would you support or oppose increasing the corporate tax rate to 28 percent?” This question resulted in a relatively modest, but still high level of support: 58 percent versus 36 percent opposition.

Fox News found the least support for a corporate tax hike, but a strong majority was still in favor: 56 percent of respondents were in favor of the idea, while 39 percent were against. In particular, Fox News was also the only pollster to find a significant difference in American attitudes towards corporate tax hikes compared to wealthy individuals. A tax hike for people earning more than $ 400,000 brought a 63 to 33 percent higher approval rate.

Whichever way you cut it, all of Biden’s economic proposals – and their payment mechanisms – are popular. Of course, that doesn’t mean they can get through Congress. The Senate in particular was opposed to even passing proposals with high public support, from legalizing marijuana to a minimum wage of USD 15. But when Biden tries to enforce the American employment plan and the American family plan in the coming months, he will at least be able to claim that public opinion is on his side.

Other choice bites

  • The vast majority of Americans are happy with last week’s guilty verdict on Derek Chauvin, the Minneapolis police officer who murdered George Floyd last May. 75 percent of Americans said CBS News / YouGov that it was the right judgment and 25 percent said it was the wrong one. A CNN / SSRS poll Likewise, 77 percent of Americans said they were satisfied with the verdict, while only 16 percent were dissatisfied with it. In both polls, black Americans supported the verdict almost unanimously, but so did the majority of whites and Republicans (albeit more closely).
  • On April 13, public health officials stopped using Johnson & Johnson’s coronavirus vaccine because of rare blood clots. 10 days laterThey gave permission to redistribute the vaccine, albeit with a warning about the clots. However, the hiatus could have damaged public confidence in the safety of the vaccine. After a ABC News / Washington Post poll While the vaccination was in progress, Americans said the Johnson & Johnson vaccine was safe with a small margin of 46 to 41 percent. In contrast, they thought Moderna’s vaccine was 71 to 16 percent safe and Pfizer’s was 73 to 17 percent safe. Most worryingly, 73 percent of people who were not vaccinated said they would not be ready to receive a shot from Johnson & Johnson.
  • Consult tomorrow Interviewed residents of 14 countries about their views on the United States both on Biden’s inauguration day and again on April 25th. On average, the views of foreigners about the USA in this period have become 9 points cheaper Germans (+47 points), Japanese (+39 points), French (+37 points), British (+30 points), Spaniards (+26 points) Points) and Russians (+6 points) change from an unfavorable perspective of the USA to a net favorable one. Only in China (-13 points) and South Korea (-2 points) have opinions about the US deteriorated in recent months.
  • According to YouGov13 percent of Americans experience a lot of déjà vu – the strange feeling that we’ve been through something sometimes. Another 47 percent have experienced it at times, while 30 percent have rarely experienced it. Only 6 percent say that they have never felt like déjà vu – the strange feeling that we sometimes went through something.

Biden approval

According to FiveThirtyEight’s Presidential Approval Tracker, 53.9 percent of Americans are in favor of Biden’s work as president, while 41.7 percent are against (a net approval rating of +12.2 points). At this point last week, 53.3 percent agreed and 40.2 percent disagreed (a net approval rating of +13.0 points). A month ago, Biden had an approval rate of 54.1 percent and a disapproval rate of 39.4 percent, which corresponds to a net approval rate of +14.7 points.

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