Covid infection rates shrinking in every part of country

The latest Covid-19 Coronavirus “R Number” and “Growth Rate” estimates show Covid-19 infection rates are now falling in every NHS region in England.

The R-range for the UK is between 0.7 and 0.9 with a growth rate of between -5% and -3%.

The government website states, “An R-value between 0.7 and 0.9 means that on average, every 10 people infected will infect between 7 and 9 other people.

“A growth rate between -5% and -3% means that the number of new infections decreases by 3% to 5% every day.

‘The UK estimates of R and growth rate are averages over various epidemiological situations and should be used as a guide to general trend rather than a description of the epidemic status.

“Given the increasingly localized approach to tackling the epidemic, particularly between nations, UK estimates are less meaningful than before.

“These estimates represent the transmission of COVID-19 in the past few weeks as someone has become infected, has symptoms and requires medical attention.”

“When the number of cases or deaths is low and / or transmission is very different in a region, care should be taken in interpreting the estimates of R and the growth rate. For example, a significant amount of variability in a region due to a local one Outbreaks can mean that a single average reading doesn’t accurately reflect the way infections are changing in that region.

“However, according to SAGE, this week’s estimates are reliable.

“Estimates for R and growth rates are shown as a range, and the true values ​​are likely within that range.”

Latest from NHS England regions

These are the latest R and Growth Rate estimates for the NHS England regions.

region R. Growth rate% per day
England 0.7 to 0.9 -5 to -3
East of England 0.6 to 0.8 -8 to -4
London 0.6 to 0.8 -7 to -4
Midlands 0.7 to 0.9 -5 to -3
North East and Yorkshire 0.7 to 1.0 -5 to -2
northwest 0.7 to 0.9 -6 to -4
South east 0.6 to 0.8 -8 to -4
southwest 0.6 to 0.8 -8 to -5


Leave a Comment