Michael Levitt, an American-British-Israeli biophysicist who received the 2013 Nobel Prize in chemistry for the development of complex models of chemical systems, has an optimistic view of the coronavirus pandemic (Covid-19).
According to him, the rapidly spreading disease will probably stop, but gradually. Levitt, whose specialty is not epidemiology, cited the slowing rate of increase in the number of deaths in China to support his hypothesis.
Levitt said that, like China, the United States will also have the worst of the coronavirus epidemic sooner than many experts expect Los Angeles Times reported Monday.
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The winner had already started studying the number of coronavirus cases worldwide in January of this year. According to him, the world must control panic and respect reasonable social distancing measures to prevent the spread of Covid-19.
Levitt’s statistical results predicted in February that there would be around 80,000 confirmed cases in China with around 3,250 deaths. And his predictions turned out to be almost correct with a total of around 80,298 cases and 3,245 deaths in mid-February. He said that despite the spread of the coronavirus peak in China, the country has seen fewer newly diagnosed patients since March 16.
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“We are fine,” he told the LA Timesadding that the data does not indicate months or years of social disruption or millions of deaths from coronavirus
After analyzing data from 78 countries that reported more than 50 new cases of the virus every day, Michael Levitt found “signs of recovery”. Its main objective was not the cumulative figure, but the number of new cases identified each day – and, in particular, the change in this number from day to day.
“The numbers are still noisy but there are clear signs of slower growth”, LA Times, asserting that social distancing and flu shots are both very crucial in stopping the spread.
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Levitt said the media is causing unnecessary panic with constant updates on the total number of cases and celebrities tested positive for Covid-19, and added that social distancing measures can help curb the spread of coronavirus for keep already overcrowded hospitals from being overwhelmed.
He also explained how the anti-vaccine movement in Italy paralyzed by the virus was an important factor in the resurgence of cases, which increased the chances that the coronavirus would not be detected.
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Italy’s strong anti-vaccine movement, he said, probably played a role in the explosion of the cases, as the spread of the flu was likely a factor in hospital crushing and increasing risks of non-detection of coronaviruses.
He also expressed concern that an overreaction would cause another crisis, unemployment and hopelessness creating more problems, such as the increase in the suicide rate and the economic downturn.
“Although the virus has a higher death rate than the flu, it is” not the end of the world … the real situation is not as bad as it claims, “said Levitt.