According to an official briefing, London hospitals are on the verge of being overwhelmed by the coronavirus even in the “best-case” scenario.
The Health Service Journal said NHS England London Medical Director Vin Diwakar had made the tough predictions to the medical directors of the London Hospital Trusts on a Zoom call.
The NHS England presentation seen by the HSJ showed that the NHS in London was successful, even as the number of Covid patients grew at the lowest rate believed likely, and actions to manage demand and increase capacity, including the Opening of the capital’s Nightingale hospital, successful By January 19, almost 2,000 beds for general, acute and intensive care would be missing.
The briefing predicts the demand for G&A and intensive care beds for Covid and non-Covid patients versus capacity. The effects of planned measures to reduce demand and increase capacity were taken into account.
For both G&A and intensive care, three scenarios are described in detail: “Best”, which predicts a daily growth of 4%; “Average” which represents 5% daily growth; and “worse”, which predicts 6% daily growth.
According to the briefing, growth on Jan. 5 was 3.5% for G&A beds and 4.8% for ICU beds.
General practitioners in England are set to begin administering Oxford / AstraZeneca coronavirus vaccine as Britain faces a race to protect its population after the daily death toll surpasses 1,000.
The drive to vaccinate the population en masse will take a significant step forward as the NHS in England announced that the sting will be introduced in all general practitioners’ offices from Thursday.
The development comes after the UK reported an additional 1,041 people died within 28 days of testing positive for Covid-19 on Wednesday – the highest daily total reported since April 21.