Decades of polls have found that, in general, more Americans sympathize with the Democratic Party than with the Republican Party. This advantage was so enduring that it has become common wisdom in American politics. But one recent Gallup poll shows that Republicans are taking the lead over Democrats, 47 percent to 42 percent, in how Americans identify. The survey was the subject of plenty of comment, and on this episode of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses whether these insights and underlying data are a “good or bad use of polls.”
The team also talks about the Senate races in Pennsylvania, Nevada, Arizona, North Carolina, Wisconsin, Georgia and New Hampshire and debates most important to determining control of the upper chamber next year.
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