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Poll: Democrats have slight edge heading into Barrett confirmation battle

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Poll: Democrats have slight edge heading into Barrett confirmation battle

Voters also disagreed on whether a vote on Barrett should only take place if Trump wins. Overall, 40 percent said it should only get a vote if Trump is re-elected, 39 percent said it should be confirmed as soon as possible, no matter what, and 20 percent didn’t know or had no opinion. The breakdown of the partisans on the question of timing was similarly partisan.

Still, the Democrats seem to have a small advantage on both issues affecting Ruth Bader Ginsburg’s replacement, as Swing voters judge. 28 percent of the independents supported Barrett, and 31 percent said it shouldn’t be affirmed. And 39 percent of those who identified themselves as independent said Barrett should only get a Senate vote if Trump wins, up from 34 percent who said a vote should come as soon as possible.

Other national polls conducted before Barrett’s nomination was officially announced – including a New York Times / Siena College poll published Sunday – showed that the majority believed that the election winner should vote for the next judiciary, accordingly the Democratic arguments in the week since Ginsburg’s death.

However, the POLITICO / Morning poll also seems to confirm the reasons Republicans intend to take the fight to the Supreme Court: it should be about Barrett’s qualifications, not her political beliefs. 60 percent said senators should vote on whether she is qualified, while only 21 percent said political and social issues that might lie before her as justice should be the primary consideration.

At the same time, with a 2: 1 margin, survey participants said Roe v. Wade, the controversial decision on abortion rights, should be upheld. And 43 percent said that in most cases judges should uphold previous decisions even if they disagree with them, up from 34 percent who said their own opinion on the law should be given more weight.

The poll polled 1,990 registered voters and has a margin of error of plus or minus 2 percentage points. Surveys that are carried out entirely in one day can create additional sources of error.

Morning Consult is a global data intelligence company that delivers real-time insights into the way people think by surveying tens of thousands around the world every day.

Further details on the survey and its methodology can be found in these two documents: Toplines | Crosstabs

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