Biden has significant advantages among black voters, women, independents, and seniors in both states. Trump’s greatest asset is among evangelical Christians.
In both states, a majority of those polled said the election winner should fill the vacant Supreme Court seat for which Trump nominated Amy Coney Barrett on Saturday: 54 percent in Michigan and 56 percent in Wisconsin. The polls were conducted before Trump announced Barrett’s selection.
In the race for the Senate in Michigan, Democratic incumbent Gary Peters leads GOP challenger John James by a margin of 49 to 44 percent.
Meanwhile in the CBS News Battleground Tracker PollsTrump led Biden with a single point (47:46) in Georgia, followed by Biden (48:46) in North Carolina. Trump won both states in 2016, and Republicans in particular have dominated the elections in Georgia for the past few decades.
According to a third CBS presidential poll, the president in South Carolina (52-42) has a 10 point lead. Much closer is the Senate race in this state, with incumbent Republican Senator Lindsey Graham leading Democratic challenger Jaime Harrison by a point 45:44.
Another senator in trouble, according to the CBS poll, is North Carolina Republican Thom Tillis, who is 48 to 38 percent behind Democratic challenger Cal Cunningham.
The Michigan NBC News / Marist poll was conducted September 19-23 and the Wisconsin NBC News / Marist poll was conducted September 20-24. The error rates varied in different categories between 3.6 percentage points and 4.6 percentage points.
The CBS polls were conducted by YouGov September 22-25. They are based on 1,164 registered voters in Georgia, 1,213 in North Carolina, and 1,080 in South Carolina. The margin of error for registered voters is plus or minus 3.3 points in Georgia, plus or minus 3.6 points in North Carolina, and plus or minus 3.8 points in South Carolina.