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Poll (s) of the week
House Republicans on Wednesday agreed to remove Wyoming MP Liz Cheney to chair the conference, the party’s third-largest position in the House of Representatives. your Major offense is well established at this point: Cheney repeatedly refused to stand ready former President Donald Trump false claims of electoral fraud in the the 2020 presidential competitionto criticize him openly and draw the wrath of their GOP colleagues with it.
Her fall is also noteworthy in that it is the best-known example to date of the disqualification of expressing public opposition to Trump within the GOP ranks, regardless of what Republicans might say otherwise.
Note that 71 percent of Republicans spoke about this Pew Research Center in March that the GOP should accept elected Republicans who disagree with the party on some issues, with 43 percent saying the same of Republicans who openly criticize Trump. And a new one Reuters / Ipsos poll found that 61 percent of Republicans felt The party would be stronger if it included both Trump supporters and Trump critic.
However, this feeling doesn’t really apply to GOP politicians who were critical of Trump, like Cheney or Utah Sen. Mitt Romney. Almost every Republican who voted for the indictment against Trump – including Cheney – has been admonished by the party has attracted at least one primary challenger.
This is in part because Trump remains hugely popular with the Republican base, as two polls released Wednesday show: Consult Politico / Tomorrow found that 82 percent of Republican voters gave Trump a positive opinion, while 77 percent of Republican adults said so The Economist / YouGov the same. His false claims that the election was stolen from him are also popular with Republican voters. Recent polls show that around 7 in 10 Republicans still believe that President Biden did not legitimately defeat Trump last November.
Cheney might have retained her leadership position if she had called back her criticism of Trump. After all, House minority leader Kevin McCarthy backed her before trying to oust her in February, and This reconciliation failed by more than 2 to 1. Cheney’s expulsion also shows how little ideology is important in the party compared to loyalty to Trump.
Take part in the vote to fill Cheney’s old place in the party leadership, which is expected Happen friday. Trump and House Minority Whip Steve Scalise have supported New York MP Elise Stefanik will fill the post even though her poll results are more liberal than 98 percent of the other Republicans in the House of Representatives. according to Voteviewand she voted less with Trump than most of the others in her caucus, according to the FiveThirtyEights Trump Score. For comparison: Cheney’s voting record is about Hit the middle of her caucus, as would be expected of someone in the leadership, and she voted with Trump 93 percent of the time. However, this is less important than Stefan’s public loyalty to the former president. you defended him loudly during his first impeachment trial and has reiterated his false claims about the 2020 election. This does not mean that ideology is unimportant. GOP MP Chip Roy from Texas criticized Stefanik for insufficiently conservative and seems ready to bid against them Become a conference leader.
Anti-Trump attitudes also seem to override most other policy deliberations among Republican voters. For example, despite Cheney’s conservatism and longstanding commitment to the GOP, the Economist / YouGov poll found that only 20 percent of Republicans had a positive opinion of her, compared with 58 percent who had a negative opinion. Consult Politico / Tomorrow found that only 14 percent of Republican voters had a positive opinion of Cheney, compared with 43 percent who had a negative opinion of her – also, 50 percent of GOP voters supported her overthrow, while only 18 percent wanted to keep her in the lead.
Cheney’s position in Republican circles used to be entrenched – it was once considered one potential future speaker of the house – but their demise is the latest evidence that loyalty to Trump is the defining characteristic of today’s Republican Party. Because of her opposition to him, Cheney may find herself in the political wilderness.
Other choice bites
- A new survey The Institute of Governmental Studies at the University of California at Berkeley found more resistance than support for the recall of Democratic Governor Gavin Newsom. The referendum will likely take place because of the recall campaign has far more petition signatures as required, but only 36 percent of California-registered voters said they supported Newsom’s recall; 49 percent were against it. This largely corresponds to that Results of late impartial pollsalthough some Republican sponsored polls a successful callback is more plausible.
- The latest poll from AP / NORC indicates increasing confidence in vaccinations, but party-political differences in vaccination rates persist. The survey found that 53 percent of Americans were extremely or very confident in the quick and safe distribution of vaccines, while 46 percent expressed confidence that vaccines were distributed fairly. This is a significant increase from the AP / NORC survey in February, when less than 30 percent expressed a high level of confidence in a fair, quick and safe distribution. The new poll also found that 45 percent of Americans were extremely or very confident that the vaccines were properly tested for safety and effectiveness, up from 39 percent in February. While 79 percent of Democrats said they received the vaccine, only 56 percent of Republicans said the same thing. And far more Republicans (32 percent) than Democrats (8 percent) said they probably or definitely won’t get the vaccine at all.
- The fighting between the Israeli military and Hamas in Gaza has revealed a rift within the Democratic Party between staunch defenders of Israel and those who are more critical of its government. Back in February Gallup found For the first time, a majority of Democrats advocated putting more pressure on Israelis to compromise to resolve the Palestinian-Israeli conflict. Increased criticism of Israel, however, could run the risk of losing the political support of some American Jews, who are still predominantly democratic in their political preferences new report by Pew. Overall, 71 percent identified or leaned toward Democrats in 2020, compared to 26 percent who identified or leaned toward Republicans – numbers that are largely unchanged 2013 Pew results. But among only Jewish democrats The 2020 report was also found 52 percent said they felt very or somewhat “attached” to Israel, and 48 percent said US support for Israel was about right. 17 percent said the US did not support Israel enough, while 29% said the US had given too much support.
- The general funding for the paycheck protection program that arose from the 2020 coronavirus stimulus package, expired on May 4th, but Voters said Morning Consult They supported the continued support of the federal government for many branches of the economy. There was net support (support minus opposition) for small businesses (+73), restaurants (+62), local governments (+45) and retailers (+44) and, to a lesser extent, for hotel companies (+23) and cinemas (+16), Airlines (+14) and automobile manufacturers (+4). Support for support in these industries was generally declining, according to Morning Consult’s March 2020 survey when PPP was first introduced, but support for many of them has remained high overall. According to the new poll, 55 percent of voters believe the economy is still suffering and needs further support from Congress, compared with just 31 percent who say no further support is needed.
- A new poll from Ipsos found that 89 percent of Americans included meat as part of their diet, and 59 percent agreed that eating red meat was specifically part of the American way of life. The poll comes when Republican politicians and right-wing celebrities falsely claimed that the Biden administration tried to do so Limit Americans’ intake of red meat. The poll found that 26 percent of Americans agreed that there is a movement to ban meat in the US, while 35 percent disagreed. Only Republicans were more likely to agree than disagree that such a movement existed (44 percent agreed, 21 percent disagreed), while Independents were more evenly divided (28 percent agreed, 33 percent disagreed). However, Democrats overwhelmingly opposed the idea (53 percent disagreed, 13 percent agreed).
According to FiveThirtyEight’s Presidential Approval Tracker, 52.9 percent of Americans are in favor of Biden’s work as president, while 40.8 percent oppose it (a net approval rating of +12.2 percentage points). At this point last week, 53.4 percent agreed and 40.0 percent disagreed (a net approval rating of +13.3 points). A month ago, Biden had an approval rate of 53.6 percent and a disapproval rate of 39.5 percent, which corresponds to a net approval rate of +14.0 points.