The confusion that still surrounds the parliamentarians’ minds has significant ramifications for the democratic agenda. The decision could give Democrats at least three more options to steer their bills past the Republican opposition ahead of the midterm elections without attempting to suppress the Senate filibuster – a move that is still lacking universal support within their party. But if the judgment has certain limitations, it persists The grueling budget process could be a lot less appetizing for democratic leaders.
And their members are already not keen on charging a legislative path that requires hours of ground time.
“I think the appetite for another reconciliation bill is good. I think the appetite for a third reconciliation bill is waning,” said Rep. Jackie Speier (D-Calif.) In an interview. referring to the arcane trial in which Schumer may have secured another chance. “Regardless of what the parliamentarian said, I believe that we have realized that we have only a limited time and possibilities to achieve these goals.”
Republican Senate assistants, who know firsthand the MP’s decision, said It is not clear what legislative priorities Democrats could adopt with a possible additional attempt at reconciliation, or whether the ruling would restrict Democrats’ use of their second attempt. The parliamentarian’s statement also does not state whether such a procedure is even permissible in this financial year or whether a party would have the freedom to activate unlimited possibilities for using the reconciliation.
A House Democrat legislature stated that the party “can put as much into one draft reconciliation as we can into two” and questioned the practical advantage of Schumer wielding the new power he apparently deserves.
“I think Schumer is on a very solid footing when it comes to revising the budget resolution, but I’m not sure what this means for us,” said this Democrat, speaking openly on condition of anonymity.
Indeed, Democrats stress that they have not made any decisions about whether to accept the budgetary process ties to pass Biden’s infrastructure agenda or other legislative priorities. And they recognize that the MP’s decision, while significant, raises a number of questions.
But if these questions lead to another round of high stakes fighting for parliamentary approval, Democrats are confident that their argument will win.
“The MP’s opinion was a significant development, but it was certainly not a panacea,” said a senior Democratic adviser. “The Democrats will continue to have discussions and see if they can use this tool as effectively as possible.”
Schumer had asked the MP for permission to re-examine the 2021 budget resolution that the Democrats passed to pass Biden’s $ 1.9 trillion pandemic aid package in hopes of a second attempt at reconciliation trigger. The parliamentarian’s opinion seems to suggest that the maneuver is possible, but it is not necessary. Democrats already have a fiscal resolution in place for 2022, free and free of tricky questions, if they want to push ahead with the four-decade-old budget bill that allows certain measures to evade the Senate filibuster.
Even if Democrats get the green light to recycle the same reconciliation process that was passed with the Biden’s Covid bill passed last month, it’s unclear what they’d use it for, what priorities for violating the rules that guide the process, and if this could be the case. B. a budget and expense accounts for the next fiscal year are significantly delayed.
Zach Moller, assistant economic director of centrist think tank Third Way, said the first time he saw the Schumer spokesman’s description of the parliamentary judgment he thought, “Oh, OK, this is a big deal.”
“And then I read it again and saw that there are things that need to be clarified,” added Möller. “And then I thought,” Oh, I don’t really know what that means anymore. “a debate.”
The Democrats on Wednesday downplayed the notion that the MP’s signal – whether green or yellow – would affect future spending bills. House Appropriations Committee spokesman Evan Hollander said the panel “is pushing the FY2022 process at full speed, starting with next week’s budget review hearings.”
Perhaps most importantly, the Democrats in their own caucus may not have enough support to take advantage of reconciliation again, especially not in ways that could set a significant new precedent. All 50 Democratic Senators would have to follow this approach, which moderates, as Sens. Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.) And Kyrsten Sinema (D-Ariz.) Advised against a second time. not to mention a third one.
Minority leader Mitch McConnell said Wednesday in Kentucky that Biden’s infrastructure package was “a hard sale” in a split Senate “with or without a reconciliation process.” At least one moderate Democrat, Manchin, has already signaled that he does not support Biden’s plan to raise the corporate tax rate from 21 to 28 percent. And his colleagues listen.
“We already hear Sen. Manchin throwing cold water on it,” said Speier. “I just think it’s really important to include the highest priority items on this next bill.”
Jennifer Scholtes contributed to this report.