Science advisor insists getting a Covid jab is safer than driving to work

According to a government scientific advisor, getting a coronavirus vaccine is safer than riding a bike or cycling to work.

Professor Stephen Reicher said a Covid-19 bump was “actually one of the safer things to do that day”.

According to figures, the risk of developing a rare blood clot is around four in a million people who receive the Oxford / AstraZeneca vaccine, according to the Medicines and Health Products Regulatory Agency (MHRA), an alternative push.

Prof. Reicher, a member of the Scientific Pandemic Insights Group on Behaviors, said it should be remembered that the likelihood of such clots developing are “incredibly rare occurrences.”

He told BBC Radio 4’s World at One, “Every year about 30 or 40 people drown in the bathroom, about 1,000 people die falling down stairs, about 200 die from choking at breakfast, and that’s many, many more deaths than we did at breakfast Getting these vaccines, actually taking the vaccine is one of the safer things you do in the day. It’s definitely safer than riding a bike or driving to work. So these are incredibly rare occurrences. “

Numis from Nomis, conducted by the University of Durham on behalf of the Office for National Statistics, showed an average of around 770 deaths per year from falls on and off stairs and steps between 2015 and 2019.

Statistics for England and Wales also showed an average of 30 deaths from drowning or falls and subsequent drowning in a bathtub, and 210 deaths from food inhalation that caused airway obstruction.

There were an average of about 40 deaths per year from side effects of a drug or treatment in therapeutic use, the data also showed.

When it comes to road deaths in the UK in 2019, the chance of a death was around 1.2 in 1,000,000 for every 250 miles driven, according to the Royal Statistical Society.

By the end of March, the MHRA had received 79 reports of low platelet count blood clots, all in people who received their first dose of the Oxford / AstraZeneca vaccine, out of around 20 million administered doses.

Of these, a total of 19 people died – that corresponds to around a million people, although the cause has not always been clarified.

Professor Anthony Harnden, vice chairman of the Joint Committee on Vaccination and Immunization, has urged people not to lose confidence in the Oxford / AstraZeneca push, calling it a “great vaccine”.

About Good Morning Britain, Prof. Harnden said there was a “much higher risk of developing severe blood clots from Covid than the extremely low risk of this vaccination”.

Professor Sir Munir Pirmohamed, chairman of the Commission for Medicinal Products for Human Use, said recent research has shown that 7.8% of people with Covid-19 develop clots in the lungs, while clots in the legs – known as deep vein thrombosis (DVT) – . occur in 11.2% of Covid-19 patients.

He told a briefing Wednesday that nearly a quarter (23%) of patients who end up in intensive care with Covid-19 will “have some form of blood clot”.

He added that up to 30% of people who develop Covid-19 develop thrombocytopenia (lowering of the platelet count).

“This relates to the fact that the risk of blood clots and low platelets is much higher with Covid-19 than with these extremely rare events that occur with the vaccine,” he said.

Cambridge University statistician Professor Sir David Spiegelhalter said it was “vital” that risk be put in context and that information this week “shows that there is a risk-benefit balance”.

He told the PA news agency, “It looks like one in 100,000 for someone in their twenties or thirties. That’s about the risk of dying in a traffic accident in three months or in an accident in about a month.”

He said the balance of risk may vary depending on the situation, adding, “There is no hard and fast rule for any of this.”

He said an “essential” part of the benefit of being vaccinated is knowing that you are helping to protect those around you, and “this is incredibly important”.

Regarding the risk of developing clots from the vaccine, Health Secretary Matt Hancock said that a long-haul flight carries a similar risk.

According to the National Institute for Excellence in Health and Care (Nice), the annual incidence of DVT is estimated to be around 1 in 1,000.

However, the risk increases after long-haul flights and becomes one event per 106,667 flights lasting less than four hours, one in 4,656 flights lasting more than four hours, and one in 1,264 flights lasting more than 16 hours.

While these are the numbers for healthy people, the risk can further increase given other factors such as obesity and age.

Dr. Peter Arlett, head of data analysis at the European Medicines Agency (EMA), said that around four out of 10,000 women who take birth control pills will develop blood clots every year.


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