Evert Nelson / The Topeka Capital-Journal via AP On Friday, the Supreme Court overturned Roe v. Wade, leaving it up to individual states to decide whether abortion is legal within their borders. As of 5 p.m. Eastern on Tuesday, nine states have already banned or restricted the procedure, and by the end of July, at … Read more
Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s politics chat. The transcript below has been lightly edited. sarah (Sarah Frostenson, politics editor): It’s possible that Roe v. Wade, the landmark 1973 decision that established the constitutional right to abortion, is about to be overturned. Late on Monday, Politico published a draft Supreme Court opinion that indicates a majority of the … Read more
U.S. President Joe Biden answers questions along with Director of the Office of Management and Budget Shalanda Young after presenting his fiscal year 2023 budget proposal March 28 in the State Dining Room of the White House. (Photo by Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images) Subscribe to something The nation Subscribe now for only $2 a month! Thank … Read more
Welcome to Pollapalooza, our weekly polling roundup. The 2022 midterm election hasn’t even happened yet, but speculation about the 2024 presidential race is already underway, with many potential candidates positioning themselves for a possible run — and in the case of former President Donald Trump, doing so quite publicly. Early general election polls are already … Read more
Senior elections analyst Nathaniel Rakich breaks down how New York state was able to pass its Democratically Gerrymandered congressional map and what it could mean for the 2022 midterm race. Nathaniel Rakich: New Yorkers like to think they’re really important; I mean, come on, their state nickname is “the Empire State.” But, I will admit, … Read more
sen. Lindsey Graham, RS.C., said Congress should be sending a stronger signal to Russian President Vladimir Putin as fears of an imminent invasion continue lingering throughout Ukraine. ABC “This Week” anchor George Stephanopoulos asked Graham on Sunday whether he is convinced Putin will invade the neighboring Baltic state. “No, I’m not but I’m convinced that … Read more
Photo Illustration by Thomas Levinson/The Daily Beast/Getty Since last year, Republicans have increasingly signaled how they plan to exact vengeance on those who’ve tried to make them and their leader, Donald Trump, pay any price for the coup attempt following the 2020 election. For his part, the twice-impeached former president has his own wish list … Read more
In this episode of the FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast, the crew discusses what the political environment is likely to be like in 2022 based on history and current indicators. They also discuss the meaning of a current Axios survey that suggests Americans are exhausted.
To state the obvious: A lot is at stake in November. The 2022 midterm elections will not only decide control of both the U.S. House and Senate, but also who sits behind the governor’s desk in 36 out of the nation’s 50 states. History tells us that midterm elections generally go well for the party … Read more
Though 2022 has only just begun, the midterm elections are already looming over the political horizon. Democrats’ loss in the Virginia governor’s race last year — and their surprisingly narrow win in the New Jersey governor’s race — both suggested that we could be heading for a red wave in this year’s midterm elections. And … Read more
