The current R rate in England as Covid cases ‘up by three quarters’

The number of people suffering from Covid-19 in England has risen by around three quarters within a week, according to the numbers.

The Office for National Statistics (ONS) estimates that in the week of May 29th, 85,600 people in England were infected with the virus – roughly one in 640 people in private households.

This is the highest level since the week ending April 16 and compared to 48,500 people – one of 1,120 people in private households – in the week ending May 22.

The numbers are still lower than they were earlier this year, with the ONS estimating 1,122,000 people had Covid-19 in the week leading up to Jan. 2.

Meanwhile, the latest government figures show the coronavirus reproductive number, or R value, in England is between 1 and 1.2 – up from 1 and 1.1 last week.

R stands for the average number of people that each Covid-19 positive person will later become infected.

When the number is above 1, an outbreak can grow exponentially, but when it is below 1 it means the epidemic is shrinking.

An R number between 1 and 1.2 means that an average of 10 infected people infect between 10 and 12 other people.

The ONS said the percentage of people who test positive for Covid-19 has been estimated to have increased in the North West of England, the East Midlands and the South West of England.

There are also signs of a possible spike in the West Midlands and London, while the trend for other regions is uncertain, the ONS said.

In many regions, positivity rates are very low, which means that trends are difficult to spot because they are influenced by small changes in the number of people who test positive from week to week.

The north-west of England had the highest percentage of people of any region in England likely to test positive for coronavirus in the week ending May 29: around one in 280.

South East England had the lowest estimate: around one in 1,490.

The ONS said the percentage of people who tested positive for the week ending May 29th

Meanwhile, there are “early signs” of an increase in the percentage of people who test positive for coronavirus in Wales, with an estimated one in 1,050 people in the week ending May 29.

This is an increase from one from 3,850 the previous week and is the highest estimate since the week ended April 16.

In Northern Ireland, the trend is “uncertain” with an estimate of around one in 800 for the week ending May 29, largely unchanged from one in 820 the previous week.

The trend is also “uncertain” for Scotland, where the latest estimate is around 1 in 680, essentially unchanged from 1 in 630.

All information relates to people in private households.

Professor James Naismith, Director of the Rosalind Franklin Institute and the University of Oxford, said: “Today’s ONS numbers confirm what we suspected, the number of cases of Covid-19 is increasing.

“Two factors play a role here, firstly the easing of the lockdown measures in May and the second the delta variant (which has now become dominant).”

He said the trend in the number of cases in the northwest was particularly worrying.

“It’s worth remembering that if the delta variant is as portable and severe as early data shows, it will devastate less developed countries.

“I am full of fear and concern about what lies ahead of me.

“Shared humanity means we urgently support vaccinations around the world,” he said.

Prof. Naismith added, “I think we could share the opinions of those who spoke out so confidently against bans in the fall, November and December, and do so again without the Prime Minister’s advice, would be tens of thousands more people died. “.

“Too many families have suffered terrible losses, loved ones have died alone, frightened and gasped.

“We may be able to open on June 21, but we should be looking at the data (trends in case numbers, trends in hospital admissions, trends in vaccination coverage, knowledge of the portability and severity of the variant), not those considering it . “The life of many other people so cheap.”

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