Senator Alessandra Biaggi or another state legislature
Why you can win: Democrats have an extremely deep bank on state law. Dozens of its 150 members are more viable than Senator George Pataki 20 months before the 1994 election when he defeated Mario Cuomo, and it is certainly possible for an unexpected simple member to launch a serious campaign.
The two most frequently mentioned lawmakers are Biaggi and Senator Jessica Ramos. Both are part of the Young Freshman class that helped their party achieve an operational majority in their chamber in 2018. And both would have a good chance of winning the support of the party’s Ocasio-Cortez wing. Biaggi has already acted like a lead candidate and has spearheaded the opposition to the Cuomo government for the past few weeks.
A wild card: Andrea Stewart-Cousins, Senate majority leader, the senior legislator in the Senate. No one would have a better chance of clearing the space with a campaign statement than Stewart’s cousins, whose tenure as head of the historic factional democratic conference has received rave reviews from moderates and socialists alike.
Why they can’t win: Pataki won by clinging to the Sen at the time. Al D’Amatos Nationwide Campaign Apparatus. There are some groups with a nationwide presence that candidates like Biaggi or Ramos can team up with – especially the Working Families Party. However, their greatest accomplishments in recent years have been legislative or congressional campaigns, and they have yet to prove that they can be the deciding factor for a nationwide race.
Candidates can of course build their own networks. But especially for those with minimal notoriety outside of a district that makes up less than 2 percent of the state, this is the type of organization they would need to get started with very soon.
As for Stewart cousins, the biggest obstacle that stands in her way is that she has never given the slightest hint that she is interested in a national office.
Ithaca Mayor Svante Myrick
Why he can win: Myrick could be in a unique position. By the age of 33, he was already the focus of numerous exuberant national profiles on topics such as his recent efforts to do something the most comprehensive police reforms in the countryand he would have as good a chance as anyone else to win over the new young leftists.
Unlike other progressive candidates who are similarly well positioned, his tenure as mayor of a backcountry town – albeit a small and atypical one – would put him less at risk of laying an egg north of Yonkers.
Why he can’t win: While he may be able to avoid the attacks of being a “New York Socialist” he is still pretty far to the left. Democrats may have shifted in that direction in recent years, but there is still not much evidence that positions like defusing the police and establishing heroin injection sites will convince voters in Hempstead.