Things that could speed up or slow down end of lockdown

We all ask the same question: when does the lockdown end?

The UK is expected to be in this position for at least another month.

And it could be spring before we can enter a pub or restaurant again.

Prime Minister Boris Johnson said he wanted schools to have priority and reopen from March 8th.

However, the public was not informed of any further data after that point.

A plan will not be presented by the government until the week of February 22nd. The mirror reported.

The government uses these four conditions before facilitating the lockdown:

  • A new variant does not cause any difficulties
  • The vaccination program works
  • Hospital stays are coming
  • The deaths are coming.

Here are the things that could help speed the process up, and some factors that need to be considered in order to slow it down.

Things that would make locking easier

The vaccine that proves this reduces transmission

Dr. Susan Hopkins, Incident Director for COVID-19 at Public Health England, said cases were falling in the over 70s and over 80s.

She’s checking carefully whether this has something to do with the vaccine – and we should have an idea “in the next two weeks.”

She told the BBC’s Andrew Marr Show: “It’s a little early to say whether these declines are directly related to the vaccine.

“What we would like to see is a divergence in case rates in the over 70s and over 80s vaccinated from younger age groups to show that they are declining faster.

“We have now vaccinated 80% of those over 80 years of age and the numbers have also increased very quickly in the under-80 age group.”

“We therefore expect that the effects of this vaccine in this age group and also the effects on hospitalization will be visible in the next two weeks.”

If the reopening of schools doesn’t cause cases to surface

Unless there is a large spike in school reopenings, this could pave the way for other institutions to open.

A December study by the Department of Education presented to SAGE concluded that secondary schools have “an effect” on the spread of the virus among children – “but we cannot and we cannot say how big that effect is say what impact it is having (if any) in the wider community ”.

According to a study by Public Health England, infection rates in primary schools remained “very low” after they reopened in September 2020.

Spring and warmer will help reduce the number of cases

An article by a SAGE subgroup dated October 21 stated that winter conditions “increase virus persistence on outdoor surfaces and in unheated indoor spaces” due to the cold and low UV light.

SAGE member Graham Medley said on Jan. 6, “We are now very hopeful that this virus is seasonal and will decrease in spring and summer. This then gives us an additional chance to prepare and, in particular, carry out the vaccination for everyone. “Chris Whitty, chief medical officer, said that same week,” Winter will benefit the virus. “

Factors that can slow the end of the lockdown

New variants

Scientists say the new variant that started in Kent is more transferable.

However, early studies have shown that various Covid vaccines will work pretty well against this.

However, scientists are still concerned about South African and Brazilian variants and other future variants that might resist a vaccine.

Dr. PHE’s Susan Hopkins insisted that this was still “comforting news” telling the BBC, “I assume that all vaccines will have similar levels of effectiveness against them [strains] like the South African variant. “

Unlock too quickly

Dr. PHE’s Susan Hopkins warned the BBC, “We have to relax things very slowly so that when cases increase we can pinch off pretty quickly.

“The NHS will be under pressure until the end of March, as is normal in winter, but above all with the number of inpatients that Covid-19 still has.

“All of the releases that we have must be done very slowly, very carefully, and watch and wait while we wait two weeks to watch and see the effects of this relaxation. Because that’s what it takes to see what’s happening in the population. “

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