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How you shape DC statehood is important
This week the House of Representatives held a legislative hearing that would make Washington, D.C., the 51st state in the nation. This has long been a controversial issue, especially since the heavily democratic city would likely elect two Democratic senators. Older polls has found that at least half of Americans are against statehoodand that hasn’t really changed. What is remarkable, however, is how much questioning can move the numbers – perhaps a sign of how we can expect the two sides to shape this debate.
Two recent polls asked straightforward questions about DC statehood (some form of “Do you support or oppose statehood?”) And the public was fairly evenly divided. Forty-nine percent of Americans told Fortune / SurveyMonkey In mid-January they supported statehood, while 45 percent were against it. For the pro-statehood movement, this is an improvement over that some other impartial polls on the subject in 2020, but only slightly. The picture is even more complicated, just last week RMG Research found that 35 percent were in favor of statehood, compared with 41 percent who were against it. Hardly what would be called a clear picture of public support. It is important to note, however, that both respondents asked a simple yes or no question, which means that there is little reason to believe that respondents were prepared to respond in any particular way.
This is not the case with two other recent surveys. In a February poll conducted on behalf of Democracy for All 2021 Action, the supports efforts to make D.C. as a state, Found data for progress that 54 percent of likely voters were in favor of statehood, while only 35 percent were against it. However, DFP told respondents that statehood represented more than 714,000 Washingtoners in Congress, “just like Americans in any other state,” so this question is likely to be asked prepared respondents to be cheaper towards statehood. But it also suggests that the emphasis on equality can help pro-state forces receive support. In fact, DFP found that changing the question text to “DC suffers from“ taxation without representation ”increased the proportion in favor of statehood to 58 percent.
Those who speak out against DC statehood may want to take a page out of the Rasmussen Reports playbook and highlight the constitutional objections to the conversion of the District of Columbia into a state. In February, Rasmussen told respondents that the U.S. Constitution designates the country’s capital as a federal district rather than a state prepared respondents to oppose statehood. The top lines of the survey were almost the reverse of the Data for Progress survey: 29 percent were in favor of statehood, 55 percent were against. Bottom line: How you do a survey is important. So when you hear the two sides of this debate rely more heavily on these appeals, you will know why.
Americans are concerned about anti-Asian discrimination
The recent murder of eight people Six of them were of Asian descentin the Atlanta area sparked renewed talk about anti-Asian racism in the United States, which has been simmering since the COVID-19 pandemic triggered an increase in anti-Asian discrimination.
ON new Harris poll conducted after the Atlanta shooting found many Americans worried. 76 percent said they were very or slightly concerned about hatred and discrimination against Asian Americans in response to the pandemic. And during some federal and Local officials Americans disagreed: 66 percent said this was definitely or likely a racially motivated hate crime.
In addition, another Atlanta poll from USA Today / Ipsos suggests that Asian Americans are still being discriminated against by COVID-19. A quarter of Americans said they saw someone blame Asians for the coronavirus outbreak in the past month. That number was actually a decrease from April (shortly after home stay orders became ubiquitous in the US), when 32 percent said so the Center for Public Integrity / Ipsos that they had seen such behavior. Still, the Ipsos poll suggests that anti-Asian sentiment is still a problem. For example, although the proportion who were concerned about being too close to someone who was not wearing protective gear hadn’t changed much since April, the proportion who expressed concern about it was someone of Asian descent who was not wearing protective gear contributed to being too close, surfaced 46 percent to 54 percent.
Views on LGBTQ issues are changing
once deeply divisive wedge question that the Republicans used to their political advantage same-sex marriage has now reached an all-time high in support among all Americans. LGBTQ rights in a broader sense have experienced a similar surge of support, and a new poll from the Public Religion Research Institute gives us further indications of this trend.
Overall, 76 percent of Americans said they support laws to protect LGBTQ people from discrimination in the workplace and in homes and public places, which the pollster has seen since he asked the question in 2015. In particular, the majority of almost all groups of Americans have expressed support for such laws, including groups traditionally more critical of LGBTQ people, such as Republicans (62 percent support) and White Evangelical Protestants (62 percent). The poll also found that 67 percent of Americans were in favor of same-sex marriage, including, for the first time, a small majority of Republicans (51 percent).
Given this increased support for LGBTQ rights, it is therefore not surprising that this is the case Gallup found A record percentage of adult Americans – about 6 percent – who identified as lesbian, gay, bisexual, or transgender in 2020, with many more younger Americans openly identifying as such. However, there is still a pretty big age difference in who openly identifies as LGBT. About 16 percent of Generation Z adults (born between 1997 and 2002) identified themselves as LGBT, as did about 9 percent of Millennials (born between 1981 and 1996). However, only about 4 percent of Gen Xers (born between 1965 and 1980) and less than 2 percent of adults born before 1965 identified as LGBT. Because older Americans may be less able to identify themselves this way, Gallup notes that the percentage of Americans who identify as LGBT is actually higher than 6 percent.
According to FiveThirtyEight’s Presidential Approval Tracker, 54.3 percent of Americans are in favor of Biden’s work as president, while 39.9 percent are against (a net approval rating of +14.4 percentage points). At this point last week, 54.0 percent agreed and 40.0 percent disagreed (a net approval rating of +14.1 points). A month ago, Biden had an approval rate of 54.5 percent and a disapproval rate of 38.2 percent, which corresponds to a net approval rate of +16.3 points.