Sure, the economy has shown some positive signs lately, with retail growth and unemployment below expectations. However, this good news could be fueled by massive government measures to combat corona viruses, some of which will soon expire.
Polis has brought libertarian sensitivity into line with the public health doctrine since issuing a nationwide home stay order on March 26 after a series of cases. His reopening “Safer At Home”, which was even praised by President Donald Trump, was more of a tiptoe than a march: the dining service in restaurants didn’t start until May 27. Gyms and pools followed with limited capacity this month. And bars and summer camps in residential areas can only be opened this week with limited capacity.
This is in contrast to Utah, which never placed an order to stay at home and where gyms and restaurants started on May 1st. The average number of new infections there has roughly doubled since the beginning of this month. In Arizona, where casinos, restaurants, and gyms opened until mid-May, hospitalization has increased 40 percent since June 1, and the Department of Health recently instructed hospitals to “fully activate” emergency plans.
“We are only a few steps ahead of this virus,” said Polis this week. “We cannot let the good news give us a false sense of security. We are seeing some of our neighboring states, Arizona and Utah, that are moving in the wrong direction.”
The state’s biggest hot spot in recent weeks has been Boulder, where an increase of about 30 cases has been recorded after a series of parties with students from the University of Colorado. However, there is concern that the number of state cases could increase if people traveling across borders bring the virus with them.
“The virus doesn’t understand national borders,” said Polis.
However, public acceptance of restrictions during reopening varied widely from state to state.
An early and alarming increase in mountain community and Denver cases in March could have caused many Coloradans to wear masks and observe social distancing, said Lindsay Keegan, an infectious disease specialist at the University of Utah.
This is in contrast to Utah, which felt the pandemic much later and in which public health officials are now asking residents to get on board. A recent one Salt Lake Tribune survey found that 35 percent of Utah residents said they always wear a mask in public, a cohort that fell to 26 percent among self-described conservatives.
Almost 700 on Tuesday Medical service providers in Arizona asked GOP governor Doug Ducey to commission masks The state reported almost 2,400 new infections in public, a daily record.
“People think,” There was no breakout so I could make contacts again, “said Keegan.” In Colorado they saw what could happen to make people a little more careful. “
A spokesman for the governor of Utah, Gary Herbert, said officials there would like to see more people with masks, but don’t believe that factors such as open restaurants and gyms are driving the current peaks. Angela Dunn, the state’s epidemiologist, said most cases are spread at work.
Polis’ order to stay at home is credited with preventing unnecessary travel in the vast, geographically diverse state, and curbing the spread of disease once the first outbreaks have been contained. This was particularly important in areas that could have been swamped by a wave of skiers and tourists.
“The sooner you place your order at home, the more likely you are to get a better result,” said David Bortz, a math biologist at the University of Colorado Boulder and a member of the state-owned Covid-19 modeling team.
The relative fitness of the Coloradans probably also played a role. The CDC ranks it as the least obese state in the nation, meaning that there are fewer people with underlying health conditions who could make them particularly vulnerable to the virus.
There are other demographic factors that differentiate countries in the region. Arizona’s large prison population has exacerbated the impact of the pandemic there. Last week, Maricopa County officials said 313 inmates tested positive in prison, compared with 30 the week before. The Eloy Federal Contract Facility, an immigration detention center approximately 45 miles north of Tucson, is also in the midst of an outbreak and has the second most confirmed cases of any ICE facility in the nation.
“These are populations that sow the rest of society,” said Nina Fefferman, deputy director of the One Health Initiative at the University of Tennessee, Knoxville. “These can dramatically affect the progress of an epidemic.”