England is about to return, just over seven months since Boris Johnson announced the first UK Covid-19 restrictions.
When does it all come into effect?
From Thursday, November 5th through Wednesday, December 2nd, the government will:
- People must stay at home except for specific purposes.
- Preventing you from meeting people you do not live with except for specific purposes.
- Closure of certain shops and venues.
This means that the new rules will start at midnight.
Local restrictions based on the three-tier system will continue to apply in the area you live until 11:59 p.m. Wednesday.
From Thursday, the national lockdown will replace these local animal rules in your region. No new areas in the Tier 3 “Very High Alert” restrictions will be moved until Thursday.
The new measures apply nationally for four weeks until December 2nd.
At the end of the reporting period, the government will review the impact of the lockdown and hopes to revert to a regional approach based on the latest data.
However, medical professionals have warned that it could take some time for the national lockdown to have a significant impact on the number of infections.
When the previous lockdown began in March, the restrictions weren’t eased until June.
Dr. Hilary Jones has already warned Good Morning Britain that the lockdown is expected to be extended beyond December 2nd.
How do the latest numbers on hospital admissions, patients in hospital beds and Covid-19 deaths compare to the end of March?
The data shows the following:
The daily hospital admissions of patients with Covid-19 in England has risen sharply in recent weeks, although it is still less than half the total recorded at the height of the first wave.
1,345 recordings were reported for October 29, roughly twice as many as 17 days earlier (664 on October 12).
It’s also the highest daily total since 1,495 were reported on April 21.
On the day Boris Johnson announced the original lockdown across the UK, March 23, the number stood at 1,128 and then rose rapidly. It nearly tripled in nine days, peaking at 3,099 on April 1.
The current total is not rising at the same pace, although for the whole of England the trend obscures some notable regional differences.
In northwest England, the daily intake was 340 on October 29, the highest number since April 10, albeit far from the first wave peak of 477 on April 9.
In the Midlands, the number was 288 on October 29, the highest since April 17 (291), but far from the first wave peak of 776 on April 1.
And in the south-west of England there were only 69 on October 29th: less than half of the first wave peak of 152 on April 7th.
Patient in hospital
On October 31, 9,213 Covid-19 patients were reported in hospitals in England.
This is the highest number since May 7, and just over half the number reported at the height of the first wave (17,172 on April 12).
On March 23, the number was 3,097 – and it took only a week for the size to tripled to 9,498 on March 30.
The current number increases more slowly. It took two weeks to roughly double from 4,814 on October 17th to 9,213 on October 31st.
In north-west England, the number of hospital patients is now very close to the first wave peak: 2,660 on October 31st, compared to a peak of 2,890 on April 13th.
In south-west England, however, the current number is 431 – about half of the region’s first wave peak of 840 on April 14th.
Patients in ventilation beds
A total of 815 confirmed patients at the Covid 19 hospital in England were in beds with mechanical ventilation on October 31.
This is the highest number since May 22, but just over a quarter of the total reported at the height of the first wave (2,881 on April 12).
It took nearly three weeks for the total to roughly double from 401 on October 11th to 815 on October 31st.
Again, there are notable differences between the regions.
In northwest England, the number reported on October 31 was 211-60% of the total recorded at the height of the first wave (350 on April 18).
In south-west England the number is currently at 40 – about a third of the peak of the first wave (126 on April 12).
Deaths within 28 days of testing positive
The government’s preferred method of calculating Covid-19 deaths is to only count people who died within 28 days of testing positive for the virus.
Through this move, the number of Covid-19 deaths in England averages 215 per day based on an average of seven days in which deaths are reported.
This is the highest number since the end of May.
On March 23, when Boris Johnson announced the UK lockdown, the number was 38.
It then soared, averaging 857 deaths per day three weeks later.
The latest numbers do not yet suggest a similarly rapid increase.
Instead, it took the average two weeks to roughly double from 99 deaths (on October 17) to 215 (October 31).